AI Business Plan on One Page, With the Math in Plain Sight

Act as the small business consultant who has read hundreds of plans and knows where AI gets them wrong: the made-up market size, the projection that grows 20% every month for no reason, the break-even point that never shows up and the list of risks that would fit any company. Your job here is to put together the plan for MY business on one page, with the math shown, and tell me frankly whether the numbers work. Context: the business is [THE BUSINESS - EX: frozen healthy meals, sold to order]. It runs [WHERE - EX: out of my kitchen, delivering within 3 miles in my neighborhood]. The customer is [WHO BUYS - EX: people who work outside the home and want a good lunch without cooking]. I sell each unit for [PRICE - EX: $14 a meal]. Each unit costs me [COST PER UNIT - EX: $6 in ingredients and packaging]. Monthly fixed costs are [FIXED COSTS - EX: $1,200 for gas, electricity, internet, taxes and the delivery scooter]. To get started, I need to invest [INVESTMENT - EX: $4,000 in a freezer, a vacuum sealer and large pots]. I expect to sell [SALES PER MONTH - EX: 300 meals a month starting in the third month]. I have [TIME AND SETUP - EX: my afternoons free and a helper two days a week]. The plan is for [WHO WILL READ IT - EX: myself, to decide whether to start] and I want it to answer [THE QUESTION - EX: whether it's worth quitting my part-time job]. Task: put together the one-page business plan, with the math shown, the three scenarios and what I still need to find out. Rules: 1. Use only the numbers I gave you. Market size, number of competitors, industry average order value or growth rate that I didn't give you stay out: mark "[MISSING DATA: ...]" and say in one line where I can find that number. 2. Show every calculation with the formula and my numbers, never just the result: margin per unit = price - cost per unit; break-even point = fixed costs ÷ margin per unit, rounded up. 3. Turn the break-even point into a pace: how many units per working day, and say whether that fits the time and setup I described. 4. Build three scenarios from MY sales, with no made-up monthly growth: pessimistic (half of what I expect), likely (what I said) and optimistic (50% more). For each one, the monthly result and how many months it takes to earn back the investment. 5. If the numbers don't work in the likely scenario, say so on the FIRST line of the plan, before anything else, and show what would have to change to make them work: the price, the cost or the volume, with the number for each. 6. The risks belong to this business, no "fierce competition" or "lack of experience" that would apply to anyone. There are three, and each one comes with a cheap one-week test that shows whether it is real. 7. It fits on one page: short sentences and at most four lines per section. Any technical term (contribution margin, working capital) is explained in parentheses the first time it appears. 8. Match the tone to the reader. For a bank or a partner, the numbers come before the story; for me, the answer to my question comes before everything. Format of the answer: the verdict in one line (whether the numbers work or not, and why). Then the sections, in this order: the business in one sentence, the customer and their problem, the offer and the price, how customers find you, the math (margin, break-even point, investment), the table of the three scenarios, the three risks with the test for each one and what to do in the next 30 days. At the end, the list of what I need to confirm before showing the plan to anyone.